I just stumbled across this thread and felt compelled to post. I work in the publishing industry and worked in newspapers exclusively from 1989 until 2005, when I was laid off by The Old Grey Lady. I've worked for independent distributors, The Financial Times, The International Herald Tribune and The New York Times. I've only worked on the business side but have been involved with everything from customer service, to production, circulation marketing, to launching new digital products, with distribution and single copy sales thrown in for good measure. After working the last couple of years as a consultant (read: unemployed) I currently work at a small but influential magazine as circulation director.
The decline of newspapers can be attributed to many things. Rising costs for things such as fuel and newsprint have been a major factor. Labor also has been an issue because many newspaper employees are unionized. Certainly this is a factor and newspapers have always suffered when the economy is bad.
However, the biggest thing that most newspaper executives point to is a loss of advertising to the internet, especially on the classified side.
Classified advertising used to be the cash cow for newspapers. The orders came in over the phone so there was no need for a highly paid sales executive; you only needed a warm body to take the order. Classified space is sold at a premium compared to display advertising, so overall classified was much more profitable. The key classified categories that newspapers lost were recruitment and real estate. These categories are better served through the internet.
Another reason newspapers have floundered is it took them too long to embrace the internet; and when they did they tried to operate their online businesses separately from their traditional businesses. I think this hurt the overall operation because the people with business experience were pushed aside to work on the print side and new propeller-beanie wearing kids were brought in to run the online side. The old timers knew how to make a buck but their product was declining and they were asked to foot the bill for the development of the online side. The younger generation knew how to build an audience through online products but they had no idea how to monetize it because they didn't have the business experience; there's always been this internet culture that thinks everything should be free. That's because the internet developed in a non-profit environment - through universities and government.
Currently, newspaper audiences are growing because of the internet but they have no idea how to capture revenue from that audience. Newspapers still derive 90% of their revenue from the print product.
To compound the loss of advertising the print product has lost audience to the internet, which makes display advertising less attractive as well. While circulation revenue was never a profit center most newspapers tried to at least cover the costs for production and distribution with the sale of newspaper subscriptions and on the newsstand. Shrinking print circulation means advertising dollars have to cover a greater share of the costs.
While we never gave the product away in its print form, newspapers have been compelled to give away their content online. On top of that, news aggregators use this content, which costs thousands of dollars to gather every day and distribute it to an even wider audience - for free.
Newspapers are losing readers to the internet, especially younger ones, they have tried to make editorial changes that either don't appeal to their core audience or just plain devalue the product. At The New York Times they had a phrase "like-minded non-readers". They were always trying to market the product to an audience that just didn't exist. Add to that all of the cost cutting on the editorial side and you have a paper that more and more alienates the core reader. Newspapers have to realize that they are A) no longer a mass medium and B) that their readers are older and the product should be tailored to them and not the people that don't read it.
A good friend of mine, who is a senior executive at Nielsen Business Media, and also a long time newspaper veteran, told me once that his boss came to him and said he needed to make cuts, especially if he wanted to expand his online presence. My friend's response was "show me one example of 'cut, cut, grow' and I will follow that business model. As far as I know I have only ever experienced 'cut, cut, die'".
Newspapers cannot continue to cut editorial staff, cut pages, cut the newshole and expect to do anything but slowly become irrelevant.
There is an audience out there that still likes to read a printed product. It is not the mass audience of the 1950s or even the 1980s, but they are loyal, will patronize advertisers and can keep newspaper companies afloat until senior management figures out how to fix the business model.
Just to put a little icing on the cake, most of the problems of the newspaper industry could have been fixed if the owners of these companies knew what they were doing. First, most major newpaper chains are or were owned by families that have held them for generations. Except for certain rare instances, for example the Graham family that owns the Washington Post, these "executives" used their newspapers as their own piggybanks amassing large amounts of debt that have them in huge trouble now.
Newspapers should have been on the forefront of the internet; they should have been investing in digital infrastructure, content development, social networking, micropayments, all the things that make the internet so compelling and in some cases profitable. Instead they were focused on their product and not on their market. They viewed themselves as manufacturers and not as information providers.
In marketing terms they were product oriented and not market oriented. To use an example from photography (this is a photography site after all) just look at Polaroid. Polaroid enjoyed much success in the 60s, 70s and 80s, but they never developed new products as the market changed. Instead they focused on the cameras that they already built. They changed the look of their cameras, they rounded out the shape, they made them in snazzy colors, but they never really changed the technology. They were the first company to provide consumers with instant photographic images. If they had looked at themselves as an imaging company instead of as a camera manufacturer, then maybe some of us would now be posting in the Polaroid forum instead of the Nikon, Canon and Olympus forums.