Nikon D2X...bets?

[Franglais]

My perception of Nikon's product development strategy is rather different. I think they listened to their customers who said "Preserve our investment in your material. Don't make us change it all every six months".

So I think that Nikon aim for a product life of 2 years. They only release a product when it is ready and is advanced enough to stay on the market for that long. They decided at the start that their architecture would use an APS-sized sensor and they are in the process of rolling out a whole new range of lenses to go with it.

Canon's approach is just the opposite. A succession of products with 6-month lifetimes, three sensor sizes, a new lens mount just for the 300D..

Two different approaches. There is no right or wrong. You just pays your money and takes your choice!

Charles

[BostonBullit]

My perception of Nikon's product development strategy is rather different. I think they listened to their customers who said "Preserve our investment in your material. Don't make us change it all every six months".

So I think that Nikon aim for a product life of 2 years. They only release a product when it is ready and is advanced enough to stay on the market for that long. They decided at the start that their architecture would use an APS-sized sensor and they are in the process of rolling out a whole new range of lenses to go with it.

Canon's approach is just the opposite. A succession of products with 6-month lifetimes, three sensor sizes, a new lens mount just for the 300D..

Two different approaches. There is no right or wrong. You just pays your money and takes your choice!

Charles

I must disagree on some points. I think that history tells us that a 2yr lifecycle for a Pro level DSLR is about right. That's roughly the time between the D1 and the D1x/h, the d1h and the d2h, and the amount of time between the 1D and 1D MkII (not sure when the 1Ds came on the scene). But based on that logic there should have been a D2X announced at PMA, and there wasn't. Even if the camera is annouced in June it won't be available until January..and even then it'll be like playing the lottery to get one.

The "they only release a product when it's ready and advanced enough to stay on the market" thing is also, in my experience, completely incorrect. This also leads to one of the biggest gripes I have with Nikon: they do release products with flaws that are instantly visable, which to some degree is ok (depending on how serious the flaw is), but THEY WILL NEVER ADMIT that there is a problem. Never. Ever. What they will do is silently modify the new units going out the door to fix or partially fix the problems, and silently upgrade cameras sent in for repair. This garbage may have been perfectly acceptable in 1990, but apparantly Nikon hasn't heard of this new fangled Internet gizmo that lets every person on the planet that just got their new D(?) talk to each other and compare notes. There are going to be reports of problems from people that are simply too picky or just looking for issues, but when a large percentage of new camera owners log on at the same time and say "is yours making people's skintones look like they're having a heart attack?" there just might be an issue. When Nikon finally gets around to programming a new firmware for the D1/D2 series you have to mail them your camera to have it upgraded. Good plan; sell 20,000 cameras in the US market and have everyone ship them to two service centers around the same time...smart. Kodak and Canon let you download the updated firmware yourself. Back in the D1 days I theorized that Nikon had hardwired the important stuff to speed things up and that's why they had to have the camera back to upgrade it, but if Canon can make a camera that shoots 8fps at 8MP and has a user upgradeable firmware then that tells you something....


Another problem with the extended dev cycle is that it builds up hopes to unattainable levels. How many reasonable people out there said "that's IT?" when the D2H was announced? Nikon effectively announced that they had created the 1D 2yrs after Canon did. Still people held out hope that Nikon would deliver super low noise at high ISOs with their new sensor because it was unbelievable that it would take them that long to make a camera that wasn't in some way a major step forward. From the examples I've seen the noise on the D2H looks the same or worse than it does on the D1H. Don't get me wrong, they hit just about every other point on my "wish list" with the D2H..except 6MP min and better high ISO quality; but those two points are most likely deal breakers for me. And while it doesn't matter that they may be deal breakers for me, the plain truth is that they are going to be deal breakers for A LOT of nikon shooters who will be very hard to get back if they make the switch. I'm talking about people like myself that don't just jump ship at the drop of a hat when the other brand has something more whiz bang to offer, but have become jaded to the point that it's worth the $3000 hit to try something different; from someone different.

Peter

[Franglais]

I was thinking more of the D100 vs D30/D60/10D/300D story when I wrote my piece. Up till now we haven't heard a lot about problems with the full-blown pro digital SLR's. It's interesting to see your feedback.

Charles

[Sebastian]

Up till now we haven't heard a lot about problems with the full-blown pro digital SLR's. It's interesting to see your feedback.

Charles

Then you probably weren't paying attention.

The D1 had problems with banding and a magenta cast, only the banding was ever resolved, and only with a "silent" upgrade.

The D1h and D1x were free of the banding and magenta casts, but earl runs seemed to have issues with the mode selector, as did a run of the F100 which shares the same part.

Now the D2h not only comes several years after the same technology did with Canon, it also fails to meet the quality of the Canon. It surpases it slightly in response and shutter lag, and introduces some other improvements, but falls short in noise and reintroduces the magenta cast to an extent, mostly visible in skin tones.

To say the Nikon waits until something is done before releasing it is unrealistic, the D100 wasn't really finished IMO until the 2.0 firmware. However, there is no difference here between Nikon and any other manufacturer. Ever since the high turn-around computer age came upon us, WE have become the beta testers at our expense. Blame all the early adopters.

BostonBullit,

The D2h has user-upgradeable firmware, the instructions mention it in the revised version of the manual that you can download on their site.

[BostonBullit]

BostonBullit,

The D2h has user-upgradeable firmware, the instructions mention it in the revised version of the manual that you can download on their site.

Thanks Seb. I've heard both ways on this one and seen both things in the manuals so I'm officially waiting until an official firmware upgrade officially comes out so I can learn the read deal...officially ;) I'm simply too damn jaded at this point to believe that Nikon wouldn't pull a "you have to send it back" thing. If they messed up something that requires a hardware module change then they'd most likely say "send the camera back for a firmware change and we'll update it so that it can be user upgraded in the future" without ever mentioning the hardware change!!

I've been in this game since the original D1 and I read every last bit of information I could dig up on that camera in the year that it took me to get up the money to buy one. The D1 that I eventually purchased exhibited none of the issues that were well documented, by everyone except Nikon, in the early run of bodies; but it had the same firmware and Nikon never admitted that anything was different.

Peter

[PuckJunkey]

A lot of people will continue to spend a lot of time worrying about this "vapor-camera", when they could instead get a real (perhaps lesser) camera and start perfecting their photographic style in the meantime. Or use the camera they have more, and worry about the one they don't have less, should that fit one's context. People have been hankering for the D2X for over 2 years now; at some point you have to wonder when everyone will just say "Enough! I've got better things to occupy my thoughts with; it's released when it's released. I'll talk about it more then."

Not to say there's any harm in posting a thread like this during the PMA (a very logical time to do so), but going forward I hope this doesn't become habit-forming for members of this forum. Would be a real shame.

There are other photographic web forums (that will remain nameless but pretty obvious), where the D2X Angst has gotten so bad, at times you have to wade through pages of threads to find anything worth reading. It's just unbearable to watch people get into arguments about the capability of a camera that doesn't even exist yet, or arguments about when it will exist. I can just picture the Nikon engineers sitting around at lunch and laughing "What D2X? Just because we patent a name doesn't mean it will become a camera." They're probably the ones placing all the bets, as to which forum will implode first.



It just... doesn't... matter. I am glad to see this forum is quite a bit less "noisy" and better organized than its "competition" and hope it stays that way.